Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Emelec and Bragantino.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Bragantino |
| 40.36% | 27.33% | 32.31% |
| Both teams to score 49.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.86% | 56.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.8% | 77.2% |
| Emelec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% | 62.69% |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% | 32.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% | 68.71% |
| Score Analysis |
Emelec 40.36%
Bragantino 32.31%
Draw 27.33%
| Emelec | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.36% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.31% |


