Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.