Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 7.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.29%) and 3-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.