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Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 34
Nov 20, 2021 at 10pm UK
Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 0
Juventude

Hulk (72' pen., 76')
Mariano (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jadson (45+1'), Dawhan (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Atletico Mineiro will be aiming for their fifth consecutive victory when they host Juventude in the Campeonato Brasileiro on Saturday, with the league leaders inching closer to the title. Meanwhile, the visitors are unbeaten in five and will be looking to continue their resurgence as they bid to move away from the relegation zone.

Match preview

Atletico Mineiro are eight points clear at the top with six games to play, and they will be aiming to tighten their grip on the title with another victory on Saturday. The league leaders are in scintillating form following four consecutive victories, which included a 1-0 win last time out. After three successive home encounters, Atletico Mineiro travelled away to Athletico Paranaense, with Matias Zaracho's goal on the stroke of half time proving enough to clinch all three points. Following that win on the road, Cuca's side will return to home surroundings on Sunday, where they have been in imperious form - winning their last eight home games in all competitions. Saturday's hosts have scored more home goals than any other side in the league, and they have also conceded the fewest goals on home turf, highlighting the size of the task that faces Juventude at the weekend. Juventude have won their last three games, and have come into form at the right time, with Saturday's visitors aiming to avoid the drop. Despite their recent run of positive results, they head into the weekend in 15th place and are only three points above the relegation zone. After winning 2-0 away to Chapecoense last weekend, Juventude continued their winning run with a narrow victory over Fluminense in midweek. A strike from Vitor Mendes in the 18th minute guided Jair Ventura's side to a 1-0 victory, which boosted their hopes of survival. Although, Ventura will be nervous ahead of the trip to the league leaders, with Juventude only winning twice away from home in the league this season.
Atletico Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
Atletico Mineiro form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
Juventude Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Team News

Atletico Mineiro are still without Ignacio Fernandez, who is absent due to a thigh injury. Following his return from international duty, Junior Alonso is expected to come into the starting lineup. Eduardo Vargas, Alan Franco and Jefferson Savarino are also available after returning from international duty, but the trio may have to settle for a place on the bench. Elton is absent for Juventude, with the midfielder expected to miss the remainder of the season. After serving a one-match suspension for yellow card accumulation, Michel and Marcos Vinicios are expected to start on Saturday. With the suspended duo returning, Paulo Henrique and Wescley will make way and will have to be content with a place on the bench. Atletico Mineiro possible starting lineup: Everson; Guga, Nathan, Alonso, Arana; Jair, Allan, Zaracho; Hulk, Keno, Costa Juventude possible starting lineup: Douglas; Michel, Mendes, Forster, Matheus; Jadson, Dawhan, Guilherme; Wagner, Vinicios, Bueno

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Juventude

Juventude enter the encounter unbeaten in five, but they face a tough test on Saturday, and we think the league leaders will continue their excellent form with a fifth consecutive victory at the weekend.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 7.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.29%) and 3-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawJuventude
77.87%15.05%7.09%
Both teams to score 39.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98%43.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87%9.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.02%30.98%
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.74%56.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.38%88.62%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 77.85%
    Juventude 7.09%
    Draw 15.05%
Atletico MineiroDrawJuventude
2-0 @ 14.71%
1-0 @ 12.29%
3-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 8.47%
4-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 6.76%
4-1 @ 4.04%
5-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.94%
6-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 77.85%
1-1 @ 7.07%
0-0 @ 5.14%
2-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 15.05%
0-1 @ 2.95%
1-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 7.09%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Juventude

Atletico Mineiro
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Juventude
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Juventude
1-2
Atletico Mineiro
Paulinho (45+1')
Forster (61')
Hulk (77'), Silva (90+1')
Borrero (52'), Rodrigues de Souza (72'), Jair (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR00000000
2Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO00000000
3Atletico Mineiro00000000
4Bahia00000000
5Botafogo00000000
6BragantinoBragantino00000000
7Corinthians00000000
8CriciumaCriciuma00000000
9Cruzeiro00000000
10Cuiaba00000000
11FlamengoFlamengo00000000
12Fluminense00000000
13FortalezaFortaleza00000000
14Gremio00000000
15InternacionalInternacional00000000
16JuventudeJuventude00000000
17PalmeirasPalmeiras00000000
18Sao Paulo00000000
19Vasco da GamaVasco00000000
20Vitoria00000000


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