Atletico Mineiro
4 - 0
Athletico PR

(Atletico Mineiro win 6-1 on aggregate)

Hulk (24' pen.), Keno (35'), Vargas (56', 69')
Hulk (22'), Arana (58'), Rabello (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Heleno (11'), Hernandez (19'), Henrique (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.36%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
73.11%	17.33%	9.56%

Both teams to score 43.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.2%

44.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.84%

67.16%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23%

10.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.22%

34.78%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.49%

51.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.32%

85.68%

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 73.09%

Athletico Paranaense 9.56%

Draw 17.33%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 13.77% 1-0 @ 12.36% 3-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-1 @ 6.79% 4-0 @ 5.7% 4-1 @ 3.78% 5-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.65% Total : 73.09%	1-1 @ 8.2% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.55% Total : 17.33%	0-1 @ 3.68% 1-2 @ 2.72% 0-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.56%