Copa Sudamericana
May 19, 2021 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Banco del Pacífico
  • Marlon Mejia 5' yellowcard
  • Jeison Angulo 70' goal
  • Joao Rojas 72' goal
  • Jose Cevallos 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nilson Castrillon 15'
  • yellowcard Sergio Mosquera 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Catano 74'

Emelec vs Deportes Tolima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Emelec

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 11, 2021 11.15pm
Bragantino 2 - 0 Emelec

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 12, 2021 1.30am
Talleres 0 - 0 Tolima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.

Result

Emelec 48.03%
Draw 24.95%
Deportes Tolima 27.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.78%

Goals

Over 2.5 51%
Under 2.5 49%
Over 3.5 28.92%
Under 3.5 71.08%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5 79.57%
Under 0.5 20.43%
Over 1.5 47.12%
Under 1.5 52.88%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 67.59%
Under 0.5 32.4%
Over 1.5 31.08%
Under 1.5 68.92%

Score analysis

Emelec 48.02%
Draw 24.94%
Deportes Tolima 27.02%
Emelec
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 48.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.94%
Deportes Tolima
0-1 @ 7.46%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.02%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
May 8, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Leandro Campaz 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 13' yellowcard
  • Sergio Mosquera 22' goal
  • Leyvin Balanta 45'+1' yellowcard
  • John Narvaez 46' yellowcard
  • Juan David Rios 87' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Zapata 41'
  • yellowcard Dixon Arroyo 52'
  • yellowcard Romario Caicedo 68'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+4'