Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
Independiente0 - 2Bragantino
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Bragantino |
| 33.75% | 26.6% | 39.65% |
| Both teams to score 51.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% | 52.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% | 74.58% |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% | 29.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% | 65.73% |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% | 26.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% | 61.28% |
| Score Analysis |
Independiente del Valle 33.75%
Bragantino 39.65%
Draw 26.6%
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.75% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.65% |
How you voted: Independiente vs Bragantino
Independiente del Valle
34.8%Draw
30.4%Bragantino
34.8%23


