Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 29, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hulk 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Hulk 53' goal
  • Everson 54' yellowcard
  • Jair 60' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Sasha 66' goal
  • Mariano 71' yellowcard
  • goal Morato 41'
  • yellowcard Raniele 43'
  • yellowcard Eduardo 70'
  • redcard Douglas Friedrich 85'

Atletico Mineiro vs Avai - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2022 11.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 0 Atletico GO
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Hulk

Avai

All competitions
Last game
May 22, 2022 11.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Avai
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Guilherme Bissoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.69%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 70.1% (-2.33)
Draw 19.15% (+1.36)
Avai 10.75% (+0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.89% (-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.81% (-3.07)
Under 2.5 49.19% (+3.07)
Over 3.5 28.75% (-2.83)
Under 3.5 71.26% (+2.83)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 87.15% (-1.53)
Under 0.5 12.85% (+1.53)
Over 1.5 60.79% (-3.24)
Under 1.5 39.22% (+3.24)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5 48.06% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 51.94% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 14.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 85.97% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 70.1%
Draw 19.15%
Avai 10.75%
Atletico Mineiro
2-0 @ 14.05% (+0.12)
1-0 @ 13.69% (+0.89)
3-0 @ 9.61% (-0.52)
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.35)
4-0 @ 4.93% (-0.59)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.12)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.38)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.26)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 70.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97% (+0.58)
0-0 @ 6.67% (+0.80)
2-2 @ 3.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.15%
Avai
0-1 @ 4.37% (+0.52)
1-2 @ 2.94% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 1.43% (+0.17)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.75%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Sep 24, 2019 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Florianópolis, Santa Catarina)
  • Jonathan 27' goal
  • Leo 35' yellowcard
  • Lourenco 68' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Thalheimer 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Silva 33'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 27, 2019 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)
  • Fabio Santos 45' goal
  • Ricardo Oliveira 53' goal
  • goal Feliciano Brizuela 46'
  • yellowcard Betao 96'