Brasileiro | Gameweek 8

May 29, 2022 at 11pm UK

Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Avai

Hulk (53'), Sasha (66')
Hulk (45+6'), Everson (54'), Jair (60'), Mariano (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morato (41')
Raniele (43'), Eduardo (70')
Friedrich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Corinthians	10	4	18
3	Atletico Mineiro	10	3	16
4	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.69%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Avai
70.1% ( -2.32)	19.15% ( 1.36)	10.75% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 41.89% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.81% (

-3.06)

49.19% (

3.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.75% (

-2.83)

71.26% (

2.83)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.15% (

-1.53)

12.85% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.79% (

-3.23)

39.22% (

3.23)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.06% (

-0.03)

51.94% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.04% (

-0.02)

85.97% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 70.1%

Avai 10.75%

Draw 19.15%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Avai
2-0 @ 14.05% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.89) 3-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.35) 4-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.59) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.38) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.63% Total : 70.1%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.58) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.15%	0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.01% Total : 10.75%