MX23RW : Wednesday, April 24 22:11:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 22, 2022 at 11pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Avai

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Avai

Terans (23' pen., 43')
Moura (19'), Vinicius (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pottker (48' pen.)
Dentinho (8'), Macae (23'), Silva (73'), Copete (75'), Galdezani (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventude 1-3 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Botafogo vs. Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Avai

Athletico set out to record a fifth straight home win, while Avai have struggled away from home in 2022. We fancy the hosts to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Avai had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAvai
56.93% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 25.76% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 17.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 39.89% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.85% (-0.183 -0.18)61.15% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89% (-0.138 -0.14)81.1% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)21.65% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.126 -0.13)54.78% (0.13 0.13)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.92% (-0.149 -0.15)49.08% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.99% (-0.107 -0.11)84.01% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 56.92%
    Avai 17.31%
    Draw 25.75%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAvai
1-0 @ 16.25% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 10.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 17.31%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Avai

Athletico Paranaense
100%
Draw
0.0%
Avai
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2019 7pm
Sep 15, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BragantinoBragantino32105327
2FlamengoFlamengo32104227
3Botafogo32018446
4Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR32015236
5Gremio32014226
6InternacionalInternacional32013216
7Atletico Mineiro31204135
8FortalezaFortaleza21103214
9Fluminense31115504
10Bahia31115504
11PalmeirasPalmeiras31111104
12JuventudeJuventude311146-24
13Cruzeiro311146-24
14Sao Paulo31025413
15Vasco da GamaVasco310245-13
16CriciumaCriciuma20202202
17Vitoria201123-11
18Corinthians301203-31
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO300316-50
20Cuiaba200205-50


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