Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 3, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

The Strongest
5 - 0
Athletico PR

Triverio (32', 51'), Prost (70'), Cascini (90+1'), Erick (90+5' og.)
Triverio (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandes (67'), Hernandez (88'), Terans (90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between The Strongest and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

The Strongest

Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: The Strongest vs. Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.

Result
The Strongest	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
52.17%	24.91%	22.92%

Both teams to score 49.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.82%

52.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11%

73.89%

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01%

19.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.83%

52.17%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34%

37.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56%

74.44%

Score Analysis

The Strongest 52.17%

Athletico Paranaense 22.92%

Draw 24.91%

The Strongest	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.74% Total : 52.17%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.35% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.92%