Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 29, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Ceara

The Strongest
1 - 2
Ceara

Ursino (5')
Jusino (61'), Torres (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Erick (76'), Roberto (90+3')
Luis (48'), Paraiba (55'), Castilho (72'), Erick (79'), Roberto (86'), Lima (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between The Strongest and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

The Strongest

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Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
The StrongestDrawCeara
28.45% (0.041999999999998 0.04)27.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.17% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (0.029000000000003 0.03)57.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)78.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (0.045999999999992 0.05)35.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37% (0.048999999999999 0.05)72.63% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)25.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.92% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 28.45%
    Ceara 44.17%
    Draw 27.37%
The StrongestDrawCeara
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 12.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.17%

How you voted: The Strongest vs Ceara

The Strongest
66.7%
Draw
14.8%
Ceara
18.5%
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