Copa Libertadores
May 17, 2022 11.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Eduardo Fereira 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bautista Cascini 40'
  • yellowcard Adrian Jusino 58'

Caracas vs The Strongest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 3, 2022 11.15pm
Caracas 1 - 0 Libertad

The Strongest

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 3, 2022 11.15pm
The Strongest 5 - 0 Athletico PR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Caracas 51.39% (-0.47)
Draw 25.89% (+0.18)
The Strongest 22.72% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.86% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.97% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 56.02% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 22.88% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 77.11% (+0.33)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5 78.13% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 21.86% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 44.9% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 55.1% (+0.56)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5 59.98% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 40.02% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 23.33% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 76.67% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Caracas 51.39%
Draw 25.89%
The Strongest 22.72%
Caracas
1-0 @ 13.3% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 51.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.75% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.89%
The Strongest
0-1 @ 8.01% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 5.58% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.67% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 22.72%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 28, 2022 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Martin Prost 34' goal
  • Fernando Saucedo 61' yellowcard
  • Jaime Arrascaita 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edson Castillo 44'
  • goal Samson Akinyoola 83'
  • goal Samson Akinyoola 83'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Fereira 90'+2'