Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

U. Catolica
0 - 0
The Strongest

(The Strongest win 2-1 on aggregate)

Rivas Gonzalez (76'), Rivas (76'), Minda (90+6')

Reinoso (69'), Viscarra (86')
Prost (36')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Universidad Catolica and The Strongest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

The Strongest

Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: The Strongest vs. Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	The Strongest
54.79%	23.26%	21.95%

Both teams to score 53.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55%

46.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27%

68.73%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.17%

16.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.18%

46.83%

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62%

35.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86%

72.15%

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 54.79%

The Strongest 21.95%

Draw 23.26%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	The Strongest
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.46% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.79%	1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.19% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.95%