Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 10, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Club Libertad

U. Catolica
0 - 1
Libertad


Manuel Tevez (37'), Ona (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bogarin (38')
Cougo (15'), Mejia (21'), Ferreira (56'), Martinez (83')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Club Libertad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawClub Libertad
45.1%26.55%28.35%
Both teams to score 49.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.38%54.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05%75.95%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87%24.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57%58.43%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66%34.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96%71.04%
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 45.09%
    Club Libertad 28.35%
    Draw 26.55%
Universidad CatolicaDrawClub Libertad
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.86%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.35%

How you voted: U. Catolica vs Libertad

Universidad Catolica
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Club Libertad
6.7%
15