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Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

The Strongest
2 - 1
U. Catolica

Triverio (2'), Amaral (84')
Aponte (49'), Amaral (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diaz (7')
Martinez (66'), Diaz (78')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between The Strongest and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: The Strongest vs. Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.

Result
The StrongestDrawUniversidad Catolica
45.46%25.36%29.17%
Both teams to score 53.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56%49.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52%71.47%
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26%21.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08%54.91%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99%31.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68%67.31%
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 45.45%
    Universidad Catolica 29.17%
    Draw 25.36%
The StrongestDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.45%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 12.30am
U. Catolica
0-0
The Strongest

Rivas (76'), Minda (90+6')

Reinoso (69'), Viscarra (86')
Prost (36')
rhs 2.0
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