Copa Libertadores
May 26, 2022 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lorenzo Melgarejo 25' goal
  • Bautista Merlini 33' yellowcard
  • William Mendieta 55' goal
  • Adrian Jusino 71' goal
  • Alexander Barboza 76' yellowcard
  • Hernesto Caballero 81' yellowcard
  • William Mendieta 90' goal
  • Diego Gomez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Aponte 35'
  • goal Luciano Ursino 41'
  • yellowcard Fernando Saucedo 50'
  • yellowcard Ismael Benegas 55'
  • yellowcard Enrique Triverio 56'
  • redcard Juan Aponte 66'

Club Libertad vs The Strongest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 18, 2022 11.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Libertad

The Strongest

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 17, 2022 11.15pm
Caracas 0 - 0 The Strongest

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result

Club Libertad 50.26% (-0.06)
Draw 25.58% (+0.02)
The Strongest 24.16% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.26% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.33% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 53.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 24.83% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.16% (+0.02)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 78.62% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 21.38% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 45.64% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.36% (+0.05)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5 62.65% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.35% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25.87% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.13% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Club Libertad 50.25%
Draw 25.58%
The Strongest 24.16%
Club Libertad
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 50.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.98% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.58%
The Strongest
0-1 @ 7.86% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.98% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.16%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 8, 2022 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Henry Vaca 3' yellowcard
  • Enrique Triverio 11' goal
  • Juan Aponte 34' yellowcard
  • Luis Eduardo Demiquel Banegas 82' yellowcard
  • Luis Demiquel 82' yellowcard
  • goal Bautista Merlini 14'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Melgarejo 36'
Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Feb 13, 2019 9.15pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz (Asunción)
  • Emmanuel Martinez 31' goal
  • Oscar Cardozo 57' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martinez 61' goal
  • Emmanuel Martinez 77' goal
  • Oscar Cardozo 87' goal
  • Ayrton Cougo 93' goal
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Ortiz 12'
  • goal Adolfo Machado 44'
  • redcard Maximiliano Ortiz 73'
  • yellowcard Rolando Blackburn 74'
  • yellowcard Walter Veizaga 89'
Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Feb 5, 2019 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)
  • Diego Wayar 9' yellowcard
  • Marvin Bejarano 59' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Silva 79'
  • goal Adrian Martinez 81'
Gameweek 5
May 4, 2018 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Raul Castro 48' goal
  • Gabriel Valverde 58' yellowcard
  • Pablo Escobar 62' yellowcard
  • Marvin Bejarano 87' yellowcard
  • Daniel Vaca 92' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Cardozo 22'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Munoz 84'
  • goal Antonio Bareiro 86'
  • goal Oscar Cardozo 93'
Gameweek 2
Apr 3, 2018 11.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ronaldo Baez Mendoza 59' goal
  • Wilson Luis Leiva Lopez 66' goal
  • Wilson Luis Leiva Lopez 93' goal
  • yellowcard Edison Carcelen 16'
  • redcard Edison Carcelen 28'
  • yellowcard Pablo Escobar 88'