Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.