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Copa Libertadores

Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 18, 2022 at 11pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Club Libertad

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Libertad

Cuello (56'), Canobbio (69')
Cuello (68'), Terans (80'), Henrique (81'), Canobbio (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomez (54'), Silva (55'), Barboza (80'), Caballero (81'), Mendieta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Juventude 1-3 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Club Libertad

Last Six:
    Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
    Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Athletico PR vs. Libertad
    Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

    The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

    Result
    Athletico ParanaenseDrawClub Libertad
    50.02% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)24.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.83% (0.012 0.01)
    Both teams to score 55.33% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    53.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)46.47% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    31.25% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.75% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
    Athletico Paranaense Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    50.07% (0.014000000000003 0.01)49.92% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
    Club Libertad Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    67.99% (0.025000000000006 0.03)32.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    31.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)68.47% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
    Score Analysis
        Athletico Paranaense 50.01%
        Club Libertad 25.83%
        Draw 24.15%
    Athletico ParanaenseDrawClub Libertad
    1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.59%
    2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    3-2 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    4-1 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-0 @ 1.98%
    4-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 3.31%
    Total : 50.01%
    		1-1 @ 11.41%
    0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
    3-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 0.15%
    Total : 24.15%
    		0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    1-2 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    0-2 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0029999999999997 0)
    2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    0-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 2.65%
    Total : 25.83%

    How you voted: Athletico PR vs Libertad

    Athletico Paranaense
    30.0%
    Draw
    5.0%
    Club Libertad
    65.0%
    20
    Head to Head
    Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
    Libertad
    1-0
    Athletico PR
    Riveros (57')
    Bareiro (23')

    Christian (14'), Garcia (55'), Vitinho (72'), Pablo (84')