Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 26, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Libertad1 - 0Athletico PR
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Athletico PR vs. Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Juventude 1-3 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Internacional | 10 | 2 | 15 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 43.23% | 24.8% | 31.97% |
| Both teams to score 57.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
