Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 26, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Riveros (57')
Bareiro (23')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Christian (14'), Garcia (55'), Vitinho (72'), Pablo (84')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Athletico PR vs. Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
43.23%	24.8%	31.97%

Both teams to score 57.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.24%

45.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.92%

68.07%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79%

21.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.89%

54.1%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73%

27.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3%

62.69%

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 43.23%

Athletico Paranaense 31.97%

Draw 24.8%

Club Libertad	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.04% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.23%	1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.8%	1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.97%