MX23RW : Friday, August 19 11:00:19| >> :600:746102:746102:
Jun 29, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR
2 - 1
Libertad
Roque (6'), Hernandez (32')
Christian (26')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Villalba (20')
Barboza (72'), Campuzano (77')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Club Libertad

Having met in the group stages, Athletico Paranaense and Club Libertad are familiar foes in this year's Copa Libertadores and this makes for a thrilling watch. We are backing the hosts to make use of their home advantage and see off the Paraguayans, who have struggled to find their feet on the road so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawClub Libertad
52.96% (-0.604 -0.6) 25.46% (0.157 0.16) 21.57% (0.444 0.44)
Both teams to score 46.69% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (-0.129 -0.13)55.55% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (-0.105 -0.11)76.72% (0.102 0.1)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)21% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-0.469 -0.47)53.78% (0.466 0.47)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11% (0.389 0.39)40.89% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54% (0.345 0.34)77.46% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 52.95%
    Club Libertad 21.57%
    Draw 25.46%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawClub Libertad
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Libertad

Athletico Paranaense
73.7%
Draw
10.5%
Club Libertad
15.8%
19
Head to Head
May 18, 2022 11pm
Athletico PR
2-0
Libertad
Cuello (56'), Canobbio (69')
Cuello (68'), Terans (80'), Henrique (81'), Canobbio (84')

Gomez (54'), Silva (55'), Barboza (80'), Caballero (81'), Mendieta (84')
Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
rhs 2.0
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