Copa Libertadores
Jun 29, 2022 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 6' goal
  • Christian 26' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hernandez 32' goal
  • goal Hector Villalba 20'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 72'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Campuzano 77'

Athletico Paranaense vs Club Libertad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Club Libertad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 52.96% (-0.61)
Draw 25.46% (+0.16)
Club Libertad 21.57% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.69% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.45% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 55.55% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 23.28% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 76.72% (+0.11)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 79% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 21% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 46.22% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 53.78% (+0.47)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 59.11% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 40.89% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 22.54% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 77.46% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 52.95%
Draw 25.46%
Club Libertad 21.57%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 52.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.59% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.46%
Club Libertad
0-1 @ 7.68% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.36% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.25% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-97.68)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 18, 2022 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Tomas Cuello 56' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 68' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 69' goal
  • David Terans 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henrique 81' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 54'
  • yellowcard Martin Silva 55'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 80'
  • yellowcard Hernesto Caballero 81'
  • yellowcard William Mendieta 84'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Antonio Bareiro 23' yellowcard
  • Cristian Riveros 57' goal
  • yellowcard Christian 14'
  • yellowcard Bryan Garcia 55'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 72'
  • yellowcard Pablo 84'