Coritiba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Couto Pereira
Athletico Paranaense

Coritiba
0 - 1
Athletico PR


Porfirio (15'), Neilton (25'), Martinez (80'), William (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khellven (90+8' pen.)
Pablo (15'), Siles (58'), Cittadini (70'), Henrique (77'), Babi (80'), Hernandez (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
CoritibaDrawAthletico Paranaense
48.32% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)27.23% (0.042999999999999 0.04)24.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.98% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62% (-0.14 -0.14)59.38% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23% (-0.109 -0.11)79.77% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)24.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-0.119 -0.12)59.23% (0.117 0.12)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)40.27% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (-0.067 -0.07)76.9% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 48.31%
    Athletico Paranaense 24.45%
    Draw 27.23%
CoritibaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.31%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.94% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Coritiba vs Athletico PR

Coritiba
45.5%
Draw
40.9%
Athletico Paranaense
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2021 10pm
Coritiba
0-0
Athletico PR

Robson (53'), Biro (66')

Cittadini (44')
Sep 12, 2020 8.30pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Coritiba
Fabinho (12')
Azevedo (19'), Martins (29'), Geuvanio (51'), Christian (90')

Jesus (3')
Jesus (72')