Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2022 at 11pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Santos

Athletico PR
2 - 2
Santos

Pablo (43'), Baptistao (56' og.)
Hernandez (8'), Christian (25'), Pablo (43'), Cuello (69'), Moura (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leonardo (11', 64')
Auro (39'), Leonardo (53'), Julio (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Juventude 1-3 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Santos

Last Six:
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSantos
57.95% (-1.823 -1.82)24.81% (0.861 0.86)17.24% (0.964 0.96)
Both teams to score 42.08% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (-1.637 -1.64)58.16% (1.639 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (-1.302 -1.3)78.81% (1.304 1.3)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-1.323 -1.32)20.04% (1.325 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75% (-2.175 -2.18)52.25% (2.177 2.18)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.63% (0.282 0.28)47.37% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.24% (0.21 0.21)82.76% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 57.93%
    Santos 17.24%
    Draw 24.81%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSantos
1-0 @ 15.25% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.424 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.276 -0.28)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 57.93%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.576 0.58)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.483 0.48)
1-2 @ 4.26% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.24%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Santos

Athletico Paranaense
75.0%
Draw
20.0%
Santos
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 9pm
Athletico PR
0-1
Santos

Ivaldo (68')
Madson (49')
Paulo (67'), Vinicius (86')
Jul 6, 2021 11.30pm
Santos
2-1
Athletico PR
Guilherme (31'), Ivaldo (50' og.)
Fernandes (26'), Felipe (48')
Canesin (45+1')
Heleno (63'), Kayzer (87')
Nov 21, 2020 10pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Santos
Heleno (75')

Sandry (82'), Marinho (90+1')
Aug 16, 2020 11.45pm
Santos
3-1
Athletico PR
Soteldo (29'), Jonatan (41'), Marinho (82')
Alison (55')
Vinicius (88')
Richard (74')
Dec 4, 2019 10pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Santos
Ruben (47')
Marcelo (51'), Pereira (73'), Azevedo (92')

Peres (34'), Henrique (88'), Pituca (88'), Marinho (92')
Peres (68')