Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Santos 2-2 Palmeiras
A mouth-watering clash early on in the Serie A campaign, Santos will be keen to fall back on their home record when Palmeiras visit this weekend.
While they have been shaky on the road so far, do not expect title-hopefuls Palmeiras to roll over on Sunday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Santos had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.