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Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 18, 2022 at 11pm UK
Allianz Parque
Emelec

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Emelec

Danilo (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carabali (46'), Rodriguez (53'), Ortiz (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Emelec, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Coritiba vs. Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Emelec

Last Six:
    Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
    Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Emelec vs. Atletico Mineiro
    Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

    We said: Palmeiras 3-1 Emelec

     Palmeiras are a real force to reckon with on their own patch, and it would be hard to envisage any other outcome from this one than a home win. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a comfortable victory at the end of the contest. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 20.15%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

    Result
    PalmeirasDrawEmelec
    55.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    Both teams to score 49.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    48.84% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    26.99% (0.012 0.01)73.01% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
    Palmeiras Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.87% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)18.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    50.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)49.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Emelec Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    60.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    23.47% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)76.53% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
    Score Analysis
        Palmeiras 55.94%
        Emelec 20.15%
        Draw 23.89%
    PalmeirasDrawEmelec
    1-0 @ 12.34%
    2-0 @ 10.53%
    2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    3-0 @ 6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    3-1 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    4-1 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-2 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    Other @ 3.33%
    Total : 55.94%
    		1-1 @ 11.35%
    0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    Other @ 0.86%
    Total : 23.89%
    		0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    1-2 @ 5.22%
    0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    1-3 @ 1.6%
    2-3 @ 1.37%
    0-3 @ 0.94%
    Other @ 1.33%
    Total : 20.15%

    How you voted: Palmeiras vs Emelec

    Palmeiras
    84.2%
    Draw
    10.5%
    Emelec
    5.3%
    19
    Head to Head
    Apr 28, 2022 1am
    Emelec
    1-3
    Palmeiras
    Rojas (62')
    Quintero (34'), Guevara (51'), Zapata (69'), Arroyo (81')
    Rony (19'), Veron (25'), Lopes (90+2')
    Wesley (57'), Scarpa (81')
    rhs 2.0
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