MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 03:38:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 9, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
Botafogo logo

Palmeiras
4 - 0
Botafogo

Rony (11', 33'), Scarpa (18'), Wesley (87')
Piquerez (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Saravia (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Coritiba vs. Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Botafogo vs. Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 2-0 Botafogo

Traditionally when these teams meet, we are in for a close encounter with little separating them, and we anticipate a similar game on Thursday. At the moment, it seems as though you need to be close to perfect to defeat Palestra, who have thrived off patience and frustrating teams in their third of the field. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBotafogo
64.29% (0.285 0.28) 20.79% (-0.126 -0.13) 14.92% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (0.242 0.24)46.63% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (0.227 0.23)68.9% (-0.226 -0.23)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.163 0.16)13.78% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (0.323 0.32)41.09% (-0.324 -0.32)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.46% (-0.07 -0.07)43.54% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.26% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)79.74% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 64.28%
    Botafogo 14.92%
    Draw 20.79%
PalmeirasDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.79% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.86% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 64.28%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 14.92%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Palmeiras
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Botafogo
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Palmeiras
1-1
Botafogo
Santos (16')
Lopes (32'), Empereur (71')
Navarro (60')
Welison (23')
Oct 8, 2020 1.30am
Botafogo
2-1
Palmeiras
Raul (47'), Alexandre (53')
Santos (72'), Cavalieri (82'), Babi (89'), Warley (90+3')
Willian (77')
Wesley (44'), Jailson (56'), Rocha (72'), Lima (74')
Oct 13, 2019 1am
Palmeiras
1-0
Botafogo
Thiago (15')
Garcia (37'), Thiago (73')

Costanza (10'), Carli (41')
May 25, 2019 8pm
Botafogo
0-1
Palmeiras

Paulo (38'), Gilson (39'), Valencia (41'), Bochecha (44'), Costanza (50'), Gabriel (59'), Fernandez (60'), Cicero (61'), Souza (63'), Ferrareis (69')
Gomez (62' pen.)
Aug 23, 2018 1am
Palmeiras
2-0
Botafogo
Lima (78', 87')
Dracena (73'), Dudu (88')

Moises (41'), Bochecha (55'), Brenner (63'), Rabello (81'), Gilson (86')
Moises (71')
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