Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.