Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.