Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estádio Raimundo Sampaio

America Mineiro
1 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Conti (39')
Eder (41'), Pedrinho (64'), Juninho (76'), Cesar Mendonca Gravino (90+1'), Gustavinho (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Arana (13'), Fernandez (37')
Guga (45+1')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between America Mineiro and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Corinthians	10	4	18
3	Atletico Mineiro	10	3	16
4	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
22.8%	26.26%	50.94%

Both teams to score 45.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.73%

57.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.89%

78.11%

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.36%

40.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.77%

77.23%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42%

22.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82%

56.18%

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 22.8%

Atletico Mineiro 50.93%

Draw 26.25%

America Mineiro	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.24% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.8%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 13.65% 0-2 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-3 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.79% Total : 50.93%