Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Deportes Tolima
43.27%	26.42%	30.32%

Both teams to score 51.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78%

53.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22%

74.78%

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59%

24.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.16%

58.83%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87%

32.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39%

68.61%

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 43.27%

Deportes Tolima 30.32%

Draw 26.41%

America Mineiro	Draw	Deportes Tolima
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.27%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.32%