Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 19, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
2 - 2
America Mineiro

Plata (40'), Rangel (43')
Moya (26')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Marlon (7'), Maidana (27' pen.)
Maidana (45+4'), Juninho (65'), Pedrinho (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Deportes Tolima and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Deportes Tolima	Draw	America Mineiro
40.21% ( -0.06)	25.66% ( 0.01)	34.13% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.06% (

-0.02)

48.94% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97% (

-0.02)

71.03% (

0.02)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

-0.04)

24.05% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67% (

-0.05)

58.33% (

0.05)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.02)

27.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

0.03)

62.95% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Deportes Tolima 40.21%

America Mineiro 34.13%

Draw 25.65%

Deportes Tolima	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.21%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.13%