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Copa Libertadores
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2022 at 1am UK
Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 2
Tolima

Sasha (88')
Guga (13'), Ademir (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rangel (55'), Lucumi (90+2')
Trujillo (52'), Urena (59'), Ramirez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Deportes Tolima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Deportes Tolima

Last Six:
    Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
    Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
    Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

    We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Deportes Tolima

     Deportes Tolima must avoid defeat on Wednesday as failure to do so could spell an end to their hopes of a place in the next round. They head into the game unbeaten in each of their last 10 outings and we predict they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils against the hosts who have already secured qualification. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 13.75%.

    The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

    Result
    Atletico MineiroDrawDeportes Tolima
    62.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 23.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 13.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    Both teams to score 39.07% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    41.87% (0.038000000000004 0.04)58.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    21.21% (0.031000000000002 0.03)78.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
    Atletico Mineiro Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.87% (0.019999999999996 0.02)18.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    50.9% (0.031999999999996 0.03)49.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
    Deportes Tolima Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    47.72% (0.026999999999994 0.03)52.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    13.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)86.18% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Atletico Mineiro 62.97%
        Deportes Tolima 13.75%
        Draw 23.26%
    Atletico MineiroDrawDeportes Tolima
    1-0 @ 16.18% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
    2-0 @ 13.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
    3-0 @ 7.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    3-1 @ 5.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    4-1 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-2 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
    5-0 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    Other @ 2.72%
    Total : 62.97%
    		1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
    Other @ 0.38%
    Total : 23.26%
    		0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    1-2 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    0-2 @ 1.99%
    Other @ 2.2%
    Total : 13.75%

    How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Tolima

    Atletico Mineiro
    70.0%
    Draw
    20.0%
    Deportes Tolima
    10.0%
    20
    Head to Head
    Apr 7, 2022 1am
    Tolima
    0-2
    Atletico Mineiro

    David Rios (14'), Caicedo (83'), Rovira (90+3')
    Fernandez (45'), Tche (80')
    rhs 2.0
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