MX23RW : Thursday, June 30 23:44:24| >> :600:208732:208732:
May 26, 2022 at 1am UK at Mineirão
Atletico Mineiro
1 - 2
Tolima
Sasha (88')
Guga (13'), Ademir (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rangel (55'), Lucumi (90+2')
Trujillo (52'), Urena (59'), Ramirez (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Deportes Tolima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima must avoid defeat on Wednesday as failure to do so could spell an end to their hopes of a place in the next round. They head into the game unbeaten in each of their last 10 outings and we predict they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils against the hosts who have already secured qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawDeportes Tolima
62.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 23.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 13.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 39.07% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (0.038000000000004 0.04)58.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (0.031000000000002 0.03)78.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (0.019999999999996 0.02)18.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9% (0.031999999999996 0.03)49.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.72% (0.026999999999994 0.03)52.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)86.18% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 62.97%
    Deportes Tolima 13.75%
    Draw 23.26%
Atletico MineiroDrawDeportes Tolima
1-0 @ 16.18% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 62.97%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 13.75%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Tolima

Atletico Mineiro
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Deportes Tolima
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2022 1am
Tolima
0-2
Atletico Mineiro

David Rios (14'), Caicedo (83'), Rovira (90+3')
Fernandez (45'), Tche (80')

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