Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Jun 30, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
0 - 1
Flamengo

(Flamengo win 8-1 on aggregate)

Andres Riascos Suarez (52'), Riascos (52'), Garcia (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pereira (17')
Pereira (19'), Diego (49'), Barbosa (52'), Luiz (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Deportes Tolima and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 America Mineiro
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Bragantino	14	1	18
10	Flamengo	14	1	18
11	Botafogo	14	-3	18

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 20.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Deportes Tolima	Draw	Flamengo
20.09% ( -0.02)	26.16% ( -0.01)	53.74% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 42.96% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

0.01)

59.44% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

0.01)

79.81% (

-0)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.27% (

-0.01)

44.73% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.28% (

-0.01)

80.72% (

0.01)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

0.02)

22.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

0.02)

55.73% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Deportes Tolima 20.09%

Flamengo 53.74%

Draw 26.16%

Deportes Tolima	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.09%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 14.96% 0-2 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 53.74%