MX23RW : Wednesday, August 10 04:51:29| >> :120:45453:45453:
Jun 30, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Tolima
0 - 1
Flamengo

Riascos (52'), Garcia (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (17')
Pereira (19'), Diego (49'), Barbosa (52'), Luiz (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Deportes Tolima and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Deportes Tolima 0-3 Flamengo

Deportes Tolima's progress to the last-16 stage ought to be celebrated as the success it is for the Colombian outfit, but the quality of Flamengo should shine through here. The visitors have not had it all their own way domestically in recent weeks, but momentum is on their side following a strong weekend success, and we back Junior's side to put one foot in the quarter-finals with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 20.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawFlamengo
20.09% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 26.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 53.74% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (0.012 0.01)59.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.73% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)80.72% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)22.28% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 20.09%
    Flamengo 53.74%
    Draw 26.16%
Deportes TolimaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 20.09%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 14.96%
0-2 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 5.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 53.74%

How you voted: Tolima vs Flamengo

Deportes Tolima
26.9%
Draw
15.4%
Flamengo
57.7%
26
rhs 2.0
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