Brasileiro | Gameweek 13

Jun 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 0
Flamengo

Fernandez (35'), Ademir (85')
Fernandez (60'), Mariano (63'), Vargas (66'), Ademir (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marinho (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Ceara 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Bragantino	13	3	18
7	Atletico Mineiro	12	3	18
8	Athletico Paranaense	12	-1	18

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Ceara	13	0	16
11	Flamengo	12	0	15
12	Fluminense	12	-1	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Flamengo
49.15% ( 2.29)	24.48% ( -0.57)	26.37% ( -1.71)

Both teams to score 54.76% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.54% (

1.29)

47.46% (

-1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.33% (

1.18)

69.67% (

-1.18)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

1.48)

19.36% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.86% (

2.37)

51.14% (

-2.37)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

-0.64)

32.1% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

-0.74)

68.57% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 49.15%

Flamengo 26.37%

Draw 24.48%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.05% Total : 49.15%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.37%