Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Jun 23, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Flamengo

(Flamengo win 3-2 on aggregate)

Hulk (7'), Ademir (55')
Ademir (36'), Everson (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lazaro (80')
Ribeiro (42'), Pereira (43'), Pablo (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Corinthians	13	7	25
3	Atletico Mineiro	13	5	21
4	Internacional	13	4	21

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Atletico Goianiense	13	-3	16
14	Flamengo	13	-2	15
15	Coritiba	13	-3	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Flamengo
45.69% ( -0.15)	24.93% ( 0.12)	29.39% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.54% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53% (

-0.49)

47.47% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.32% (

-0.45)

69.68% (

0.46)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

-0.27)

20.83% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

-0.42)

53.5% (

0.43)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.22)

29.85% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

-0.27)

65.94% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 45.69%

Flamengo 29.39%

Draw 24.93%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.69%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.39%