MX23RW : Monday, June 27 16:08:57| >> :60:2548:2548:
Jun 23, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Flamengo
FT
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo

Instilling some confidence back into what appears to be a broken Flamengo side will not be easy, nor will it happen overnight. Even if Mineiro yield a weaker side for this encounter, there is so much talent and depth at every position that we have complete confidence they will be able to shut down a struggling offensive unit in Urubu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFlamengo
45.69% (-0.154 -0.15) 24.93% (0.119 0.12) 29.39% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (-0.486 -0.49)47.47% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.32% (-0.452 -0.45)69.68% (0.45700000000001 0.46)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)20.83% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)53.5% (0.426 0.43)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.217 -0.22)29.85% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.267 -0.27)65.94% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 45.69%
    Flamengo 29.39%
    Draw 24.93%
Atletico MineiroDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.119 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.39%

Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 8pm
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Flamengo
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Michael (26')
Ribeiro (39'), Henrique (45'), Alves (90+2'), Rodinei (90+7')

Guga (20'), Silva (27')
Jul 7, 2021 11pm
Nov 8, 2020 9.15pm
Atletico Mineiro
4-0
Flamengo
Sasha (4', 59'), Keno (8'), Zaracho (83')
Franco (42'), Arana (45+2'), Alonso (84'), Marrony (85'), Borrero (90+3')

Maia (26'), Ribeiro (45+1'), (83'), Isla (86')
Aug 9, 2020 8pm

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