Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 5, 2022 at 3am UK

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
1 - 0
Independiente

Ibarguen (88')
Quinones (15'), Moya (23'), David Rios (28'), Plata (31'), Ibarguen (89'), Urena (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carabajal (33'), Leandro Ordonez Guerrero (73'), Ordonez (73')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Independiente del Valle

Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Independiente vs. Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima in this match.

Result
Deportes Tolima	Draw	Independiente del Valle
37.93%	25.77%	36.3%

Both teams to score 55.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85%

49.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78%

71.22%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64%

25.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84%

60.16%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72%

26.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61%

61.39%

Score Analysis

Deportes Tolima 37.93%

Independiente del Valle 36.3%

Draw 25.76%

Deportes Tolima	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.93%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.3%