Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 1Independiente
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 48.99% | 22.64% | 28.37% |
| Both teams to score 62.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.43% | 37.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% | 15.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.31% | 44.69% |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% | 25.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% | 60.36% |
| Score Analysis |
Defensa y Justicia 48.99%
Independiente del Valle 28.37%
Draw 22.63%
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.85% Total : 48.99% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 6.41% 0-0 @ 3.99% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-1 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.37% |
How you voted: Defensa vs Independiente
Defensa y Justicia
54.5%Draw
36.4%Independiente del Valle
9.1%22


