Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos
Universitario

Independiente
4 - 0
Universitario

Sanchez (45+3', 73'), Murillo (61'), Ortiz (85')
Caicedo (33'), Landazuri (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Murrugarra (10'), Barreto (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and Universitario, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawUniversitario
55.65%25.98%18.37%
Both teams to score 41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.35%60.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.27%80.73%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03%21.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73%55.27%
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.55%47.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.18%82.82%
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 55.64%
    Universitario 18.37%
    Draw 25.97%
Independiente del ValleDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 15.79%
2-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 4.51%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 55.64%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.37%

How you voted: Independiente vs Universitario

Independiente del Valle
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Universitario
18.2%
11
rhs 2.0


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