Copa Libertadores
May 5, 2021 11.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos
  • Beder Caicedo 33' yellowcard
  • Anthony Landazuri 38' yellowcard
  • Jhon Sanchez 45'+3' goal
  • Jacob Murillo 61' goal
  • Jhon Sanchez 73' goal
  • Christian Ortiz 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Murrugarra 10'
  • yellowcard Gerson Barreto 23'

Independiente del Valle vs Universitario - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 28, 2021 1.30am
Palmeiras 5 - 0 Independiente

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 28, 2021 11.00pm
Defensa 3 - 0 Universitario

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result

Independiente del Valle 55.65%
Draw 25.98%
Universitario 18.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

41%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.35%
Under 2.5 60.64%
Over 3.5 19.27%
Under 3.5 80.73%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 78.03%
Under 0.5 21.97%
Over 1.5 44.73%
Under 1.5 55.27%

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5 52.55%
Under 0.5 47.45%
Over 1.5 17.18%
Under 1.5 82.82%

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 55.64%
Draw 25.97%
Universitario 18.37%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 15.79%
2-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 4.51%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 55.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.97%
Universitario
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.37%