Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos
Defensa y Justicia

Independiente
1 - 1
Defensa

Ortiz (28')
Jahir Garcia Realpe (50'), Garcia (50'), Pellerano (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rotondi (7')
Escalante (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawDefensa y Justicia
54.37%23.85%21.77%
Both teams to score 51.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89%49.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82%71.17%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21%48.78%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96%37.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17%73.82%
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 54.36%
    Defensa y Justicia 21.77%
    Draw 23.85%
Independiente del ValleDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 54.36%
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.77%