Independiente
1 - 0
Defensa

Barreto (77')
Palacios (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Romero (18'), Pizzini (47'), Escalante (90+6')

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
48.48%	24.59%	26.93%

Both teams to score 54.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5%

47.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29%

69.71%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36%

19.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.39%

51.61%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33%

31.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91%

68.09%

Score Analysis

Independiente 48.48%

Defensa y Justicia 26.93%

Draw 24.58%

Independiente	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.97% Total : 48.48%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.93%