Copa Diego Maradona
Apr 18, 2021 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sergio Barreto 77' goal
  • Sebastian Palacios 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 18'
  • yellowcard Francisco Pizzini 47'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Escalante 90'+6'

Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Apr 11, 2021 1.00am
Racing 1 - 0 Independiente

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Apr 10, 2021 10.30pm
Defensa 2 - 2 Talleres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result

Independiente 48.48%
Draw 24.59%
Defensa y Justicia 26.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%
Over 3.5 30.29%
Under 3.5 69.71%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 80.36%
Under 0.5 19.64%
Over 1.5 48.39%
Under 1.5 51.61%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 68.33%
Under 0.5 31.68%
Over 1.5 31.91%
Under 1.5 68.09%

Score analysis

Independiente 48.48%
Draw 24.58%
Defensa y Justicia 26.93%
Independiente
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8.24%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 48.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.58%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 7.15%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 26.93%

Head to Head

Copa Diego Maradona Gameweek 2
Dec 6, 2020 10.10pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Alan Sonora 3' goal
  • Carlos Benavidez 24' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Pacchini 83' yellowcard
Copa Diego Maradona Gameweek 1
Nov 15, 2020 9.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Nelson Acevedo 39' yellowcard
  • Adonis Frias 44' yellowcard
  • Franco Paredes 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 27'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 37'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 78'
Argentine Primera Division
Jul 28, 2019 9.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcelo Herrera 23' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Benitez 25' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fernandez 26' yellowcard
  • Bautista Merlini 86' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Piovi 90' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Palacios 33'
  • yellowcard Jorge Figal 53'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2018 1.15am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Fernando Gaibor 28' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Domingo 46' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Fernandez 34'
  • yellowcard Dominigo Blanco 41'
  • yellowcard Hugo Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Gaston Togni 87'