Defensa y Justicia
Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 13, 2021 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
4 - 0
Newell's OB

Benitez (7', 26'), Bou (50' pen.), Pizzini (66')
Britez (3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fernandez (35'), Sforza (70'), Lema (74')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawNewell's Old Boys
49.75%24.93%25.32%
Both teams to score 52.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84%50.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88%72.12%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82%20.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53%52.47%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6%34.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89%71.11%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 49.74%
    Newell's Old Boys 25.32%
    Draw 24.92%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.32%

rhs 2.0


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