Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 5, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Independiente

Newell's OB
1 - 2
Independiente

Belluschi (75')
Perez (32'), Scocco (56'), Capasso (80'), Rodriguez (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Palacios (9'), Bustos (31')
Bustos (16'), Franco (54'), Sosa (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawIndependiente
38.59%28.13%33.28%
Both teams to score 47.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.07%58.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58%79.42%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38%29.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34%65.66%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67%33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41%69.59%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 38.59%
    Independiente 33.27%
    Draw 28.13%
Newell's Old BoysDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 11.89%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.83%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.27%