Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 7, 2021 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Defensa y Justicia

Gimnasia
1 - 1
Defensa

Carbonero (48')
Weigandt (30'), Ramirez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Isnaldo (70')
Frias (27'), Meza (33'), Jeremias Fernandez (37'), Britez (73'), Benitez (76')
Meza (85')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Gimnasia and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawDefensa y Justicia
32.85%28.47%38.67%
Both teams to score 46.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.8%60.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.61%80.39%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04%33.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37%70.63%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8%30.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64%66.35%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 32.85%
    Defensa y Justicia 38.67%
    Draw 28.47%
GimnasiaDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.67%

rhs 2.0


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