Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 20, 2021 at 8.10pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Defensa y Justicia

Lanus
2 - 1
Defensa

Belmonte (5'), Sand (32' pen.)
Perez (83'), Belmonte (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Romero (27')
Jeremias Fernandez (68'), Paredes (70'), Hachen (79'), Martinez (81'), Merentiel (89')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Lanus and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawDefensa y Justicia
33.9%26.77%39.33%
Both teams to score 51.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.35%53.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85%75.14%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09%29.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99%66.01%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32%26.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08%61.92%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 33.9%
    Defensa y Justicia 39.32%
    Draw 26.77%
LanusDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 9.63%
2-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6.97%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.32%