Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Complementacion clash between Rosario Central and Defensa y Justicia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 38.99% | 26.36% | 34.64% |
| Both teams to score 52.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% | 51.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% | 73.6% |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% | 26.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% | 61.04% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% | 28.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% | 64.33% |
| Score Analysis |
Rosario Central 39%
Defensa y Justicia 34.64%
Draw 26.35%
| Rosario Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.64% |


