Independiente
Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Dec 6, 2020 at 10.10pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Defensa y Justicia

Independiente
1 - 0
Defensa

Sonora (3')
Benavidez (24'), Costa (75'), Ignacio Pacchini (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawDefensa y Justicia
45.38%26.48%28.15%
Both teams to score 49.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56%54.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19%75.8%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08%23.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87%58.13%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6%34.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89%71.11%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 45.37%
    Defensa y Justicia 28.15%
    Draw 26.48%
IndependienteDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.37%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.15%