Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Dec 4, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Defensa y Justicia

Vasco
0 - 1
Defensa


Torres (9'), Benitez (19'), Ribamar (30'), Junior (67'), Juninho (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hachen (59')
Hachen (56'), Paredes (82'), Romero (90+7'), Merentiel (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Vasco da Gama and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawDefensa y Justicia
34.73%28.72%36.54%
Both teams to score 45.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.11%60.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09%80.91%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97%33.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38%69.62%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14%31.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7%68.3%
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 34.73%
    Defensa y Justicia 36.53%
    Draw 28.72%
Vasco da GamaDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 12.03%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 6.89%
1-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.53%

How you voted: Vasco vs Defensa

Vasco da Gama
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Defensa y Justicia
33.3%
6
rhs 2.0


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