Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 (10.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.