Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.