Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Monza had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.