Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.