Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Calcio Padova win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.41% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 28.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Calcio Padova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.67%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.