Serie B
Dec 13, 2025 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Fellipe Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco 25' yellowcard
  • Fellipe Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco 68' yellowcard
  • Filippo Bandinelli 72' yellowcard
  • Salvatore Esposito 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Bryant Nieling 5'
  • yellowcard Niklas Pyyhtia 37'
  • yellowcard Yanis Massolin 60'
  • goal Ettore Gliozzi 90'
  • yellowcard Daniel Tonoli 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Francesco Zampano 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Luca Magnino 90'+8'

Spezia vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2025 6.30pm
Virtus Entella 0 - 1 Spezia
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Gabriele Artistico

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2025 11.30am
Modena 1 - 2 Catanzaro
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Spezia 33.26%
Draw 27.55%
Modena 39.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.87%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.22%
Under 2.5 56.78%
Over 3.5 22.28%
Under 3.5 77.72%
Over 4.5 9.68%
Under 4.5 90.32%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 68.1%
Under 0.5 31.91%
Over 1.5 31.65%
Under 1.5 68.36%

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 71.77%
Under 0.5 28.23%
Over 1.5 36.07%
Under 1.5 63.93%

Score analysis

Spezia 33.25%
Draw 27.54%
Modena 39.19%
Spezia
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.54%
Modena
0-1 @ 11.39%
1-2 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 39.19%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi 21' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Zaro 27' yellowcard
  • Gregoire Defrel 41' goal
  • Antonio Palumbo 87' yellowcard
  • Antonio Palumbo 90'+1' redcard
  • yellowcard Filippo Bandinelli 14'
  • goal Francesco Pio Esposito 23'
  • yellowcard Francesco Cassata 38'
  • yellowcard Luca Vignali 63'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Bertola 83'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degl'Innocenti 90'+6'
Serie B Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 39' goal
  • Arkadiusz Reca 57' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Di Serio 73' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 78' yellowcard
  • Adam Nagy 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Battistella 47'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Dellavalle 53'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Caso 70'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Duca 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Fabio Gerli 29' yellowcard
  • Cristian Cauz 43' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Duca 57' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cotali 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iva Gelashvili 27'
  • redcard Iva Gelashvili 35'
  • yellowcard Adam Nagy 65'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Elia 75'
Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Pietro Candelari 1' yellowcard
  • Rachid Kouda 27' yellowcard
  • Iva Gelashvili 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Magnino 7'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Duca 45'+3'
  • goal Antonio Palumbo 64'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cotali 66'